Financial Model Structure

Model Scenarios

Build separate scenarios for:

1 home - standalone unit
2-5 homes - micro system
6-20 homes - glamping / mini village
10 homes - micro village
25 homes - pilot village
50+ homes - full village

Scenario Types

Each scale should include:

pessimistic case
base case
optimistic case

Core Inputs

number of units
product package type
average daily rate
occupancy
average stay length
seasonality
unit cost
delivery and installation cost
foundation / site prep cost
utility hookup cost
infrastructure package cost
infrastructure cost per unit
common building cost
land cost or lease
staff count
payroll
utilities
maintenance
marketing
OTA commissions
taxes
insurance
contingency

Core Outputs

annual revenue
revenue per available unit
gross margin
EBITDA
cash flow
break-even occupancy
payback period
NPV
IRR

Revenue Blocks

Separate revenue into:

Standalone home sales
Home + infrastructure package sales
Glamping / mini village package sales
Hospitality revenue
Long-stay rental revenue
Food and beverage
Wellness and retreats
Events and corporate offsites
Memberships
Home sales inside Village, only if legally clear
Rental pool management, only if legally clear

Modeling Rule

The first Village model should work without home sales or guaranteed rental returns.

If the hospitality / operator model does not make sense on its own, ownership or investment products should not be used to hide weak economics.

Standalone home sales can be modeled separately as a product business, with clear separation between house price, logistics, installation, site prep, utility connections, margin, warranty and aftersales.